Predictive Modeling of the Non-Profit Sector in the US

The Non-Profit Sector contributes almost $1 trillion to the US economy, representing 5.4% of GDP, and generating over 12 million jobs in 2017. Yi (2010) suggests that a better understanding of the factors that affect fundraising should be of great interest to policy makers, and fundraisers. However, the workings of the sector are subject of much debate. Matsunaga, Yamauchi and Okuyama (2010) relate its size to the Theory of Government Failure. Sokolowski (2013) proposes that government funding does have a positive effect on revenues. Curry, Rodin and Carlson (2012) suggested they swing with GDP, but, Berman, Brooks and Murphy (2006) contend that macroeconomic variables do not affect short-run dynamics. List (2011) found that non-profit revenues react more to economic upswings than downturns. And the National Philanthropic Trust (2016) relates ups and downs to certain events and public awareness. Wallace (2016) points to the fact that predictive modeling has focused big-donor analytics, aimed at the identification of potential donors. We set out instead to define a working model. After locating complete time series for an emblematic segment, the environmental cause, Factor Analysis allowed us to pinpoint independent variables. We found that Non-Profit Revenues (NPR) depend largely on Public Awareness, as measured by TV coverage, and Disposable Personal Income (DPI), specifically: NPR = -4401.542 + 528.327(DPI) +23.121(TVCoverage) +

QCD condensates and holographic Wilson loops for asymptotically AdS spaces

The minimization of the Nambu-Goto action for a surface whose contour defines a circular Wilson loop of radius a placed at a finite value of the coordinate orthogonal to the boundary is considered. This is done for asymptotically AdS spaces. The condensates of even dimension $n=2$ through $10$ are calculated in terms of the coefficient of $a^{n}$ in the expansion of the on-shell subtracted Nambu-Goto action for small $a$ The subtraction employed is such that it presents no conflict with conformal invariance in the AdS case and need not introduce an additional infrared scale for the case of confining geometries. It is shown that the UV value of the condensates is universal in the sense that they only depends on the first coefficients of the difference with the AdS case.Comment: 11 pages, 1 figur

Normal Coordinates and Primitive Elements in the Hopf Algebra of Renormalization

We introduce normal coordinates on the infinite dimensional group $G$ introduced by Connes and Kreimer in their analysis of the Hopf algebra of rooted trees. We study the primitive elements of the algebra and show that they are generated by a simple application of the inverse Poincar\'e lemma, given a closed left invariant 1-form on $G$. For the special case of the ladder primitives, we find a second description that relates them to the Hopf algebra of functionals on power series with the usual product. Either approach shows that the ladder primitives are given by the Schur polynomials. The relevance of the lower central series of the dual Lie algebra in the process of renormalization is also discussed, leading to a natural concept of $k$-primitiveness, which is shown to be equivalent to the one already in the literature.Comment: Latex, 24 pages. Submitted to Commun. Math. Phy

Comment on "Geometrothermodynamics of a Charged Black Hole of String Theory"

We comment on the conclusions found by Larra\~naga and Mojica regarding the consistency of the Geoemtrothermodynamics programme to describe the critical behaviour of a Gibbons-Maeda-Garfinkle-Horowitz-Strominger charged black hole. We argue that making the appropriate choice of metric for the thermodynamic phase space and, most importantly, considering the homogeneity of the thermodynamic potential we obtain consistent results for such a black hole.Comment: Comment on arXiv:1012.207